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Hurricane Center tracks potential Gulf system for July 4th weekend

The National Hurricane Center is tracking a possible weather system that could develop near the Southeast U.S. during the July 4th weekend.
NHC

The National Hurricane Center issued a tropical weather outlook Monday morning identifying an area of potential concern off the southeastern United States coast. According to the 2 a.m. EDT outlook, a frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast U.S. coast late this week.

  • An area of low pressure could develop from the weakening front by next weekend off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur as the low-pressure system moves little, according to the hurricane center.

The formation chance through 48 hours remains low at near 0 percent, while the formation chance through seven days is also low at 20 percent.

Okaloosa County Director of Public Safety Patrick Maddox addressed the potential weather development in an email Sunday. “We continue to monitor the yellow-hatched area below for development potential in the July 4-7 timeframe,” Maddox wrote.

  • “As of now, 0% through 48 hrs., 20% through 7 days. Nothing to get too excited about at the moment,” Maddox said in the email.

Maddox emphasized the uncertainty of long-range forecasting. “The reality is, it’s just too far out to predict with any real certainty, so we monitor and prepare, as always,” he wrote.

Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center continues issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Barry, which is located inland over eastern Mexico.

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Community Comments

“Jon Hair is such an incredible artist and sculptor. Unforgivable his name was not even mentioned!!! We would not have these masterpieces without his talent and time spent creating them....”
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“Looks like we have mentioned you in 4 separate stories before. https://www.getthecoast.com/okaloosa-county-honors-women-veterans-with-ceremony-unveils-two-new-bronze-statues/ https://www.getthecoast.com/two-new-statues-to-be-unveiled-at-third-annual-women-veterans-day-ceremony-on-okaloosa-island/ https://www.getthecoast.com/okaloosa-county-to-honor-four-more-women-veterans-with-bronze-statues-at-veterans-park/ https://www.getthecoast.com/okaloosa-approves-1-65-million-expansion-of-veterans-park-adding-4-new-women-statues/ Sorry about this one, but great job on the statues...as always.”
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“Great job Travis very indept information”
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“Great job Travis very in dept information”
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“As always! You never mentioned the name of the sculptor!”
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“Unfortunately for the people before him, Santa Rosa County”
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Michael L. Cobb commented on WordroW: November 12, 2025
“2 min 45 sec”
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Michael L. Cobb commented on WordroW: November 11, 2025
“2 min 30 sec”
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michelle stoflet commented on WordroW: November 10, 2025
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“Worst appointment ever- zero experience with children and families and completely ignorant and unwilling to work with pro se representatives to keep families together.”
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